bellwether counties epoch times

Miller doesnt hesitate to say that he isnt happy with the current state of affairs and he doesnt know who hell vote for in the next presidential election. Were offering a $250 bonus if someone can work 20 or more hours during their first four weeks of employment with us. But Myers doesnt think Biden is respectful to Trump either. Unbridled Evil: The Corrupt Reign of Jiang Zemin in China. March 1, 2022 Updated: March 3, 2022 Print It could be said that Ottawa County is one of the top bellwether counties in Ohio, if not the country. Thats part of what has made it an effective bellwether, at least in recent decades, he said. Once the two 2016 presidential candidates were locked in, she knew she couldnt vote for Clinton, while Trumps promise to drain the swamp piqued her interest. Previously, he covered national topics including politics, economy, education, and law enforcement. And its never going to come back.. But, he said, he also doesnt complain. The county is more white than the rest of the nationabout, nationally, according to census data. The 19 bellwether counties are highlighted in red. Until we have term limits for politicians, this country doesnt have a prayer.. Its just stupid, she said. President Trump won every single bellwether county, except Clallam County in Washington. We just couldnt believe that Trump had lost.. Being poor, I do believe that we need a stable safety net for people. Martin plans to turn up at the polling booth on Election Day. Those counties were: Warren County, Ill. Vigo County, Ind. I just think theres going to be a lot of problems if he doesnt become our president all the violence and the riots. The farther we get from the November election, the more time data analysts and others have to examine the most unlikeliest of election victories by Democrat Joe Biden. Trump is challenging the results in several states, alleging fraud, voter suppression, and illegal restrictions on Republican poll watchers. Vigo County voters supported Trump by a 15 percent margin in 2016. The strongest bellwether counties are those that back the winning candidate in all elections. Right after we saw the results of the election and that Trump had lost, we were all like, what the hell?, said Tammy, a bartender at Wee Willys Sports Pub in Marblehead. Mike DeWine is running for reelection and facing candidates Joe Blystone, Jim Renacci, and Ron Hood in the primary. That streak ended in 2020 when voters cast the highest percentage of ballots for Republican Donald Trump14,628 (60.83 percent) to Democrat Joe Bidens 9,008 (37.46 percent). He won nineteen-to-twenty bellwether counties. SACRAMENTO . Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. But according to the. They run the gamut from. Sam, who is a truck driver for Four City Technologies in Wellington but lives in Marblehead, said he drives about 400 miles a day to deliver bolts, nuts, and screws used in the auto industry. I just want Trump in. In both of the missteps, the residents wrongly picked the losing Democrat: Williams Jennings Bryan over President William Taft in 1908 and Adlai Stevenson over President Dwight Eisenhower in 1952. We need to finish putting up the wall that Trump started. In the southern area just off Interstate 75 sits Bowling Green, the county seat and home of Bowling Green State University and Doyt L. Perry Stadium, where the Falcons draw large crowds in the Mid-American Conference. It was easy. The way the system works now, if you get in as a young person on something small, its very hard to get out. Those are the biggest issuesthe economy and national security. There are 22 counties in the US that managed to vote for the winning party in every single election from 1988 to 2016. The Upper Mississippi River Valley and it [sic] surrounding area, in particular, appears to be an epicenter of these high-scoring bellwethers., Teresa Shepherd, resident of the Indiana bellwether county of Vigo, in front of her daughters house in Seelyville, Ind., on Oct. 20, 2020. Former President Trump and his supporters continue to loudly assert that he really won the 2020 election even though all the alleged direct evidence of fraud has not passed the sniff test of local courts, including those with Republican judges. As the 2022 mid-term elections near (May 3 in Ohio), one might think that the Republican and Democratic headquarters might be open and in full swing, but at both party offices the week of Feb. 21, the lights were out and no one was occupying the desks inside or answering the phones. Richard Zulch, an Army veteran who served in Vietnam as a combat engineer from 1969 through 1971 and is the quartermaster for Veterans of Foreign Wars Post 4811 in Bowling Green, said he has been able to see the political landscape from both sides of the fence. The price of gas at the Marathon gas station in Port Clinton was $3.39 a gallon on Feb. 22 whenDave Beggs, anarmy veteran and retired City of Port Clinton heavy equipment operator, pulled in. Hawker said although Ottawa County tends to lean more Republican, he has noticed that a lot of senior citizens who are Democrats have moved into the area. I trust the system implicitly, he said. The northern portion of the county, in towns such as Rossford and Northwood, is the blue-collar and working-class crowd and Perrysburg is home to upscale housing developments. When you were in the union, they always wanted you to vote for Democrats, Paul said. He was working on his neighbors lawn when he paused to talk to The Epoch Times. The Epoch Times spoke with some voters in Terre Haute and surrounding towns on Oct. 20 to get a glimpse of the bellwether mood ahead of the presidential election. A diverse group of residents, many were surprised to wake up the morning of Nov. 4, 2020, to see that Joe Biden overtook Trumps leads in numerous battleground states from the night beforesuch as in Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. We need to be safe, and I dont think we are right now.. He said Vigo County is fairly evenly divided between those who identify as Republicans and those who identify as Democrats. Our politicians need to look on both sides of the fence and work together. Its education level is a little lower25 percent have a bachelors degree or higher, compared to, nationally. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. About The Author. A 75-year-old retiree who owned a transportation and logistics business didnt want to be named and told The Epoch Times hes been skeptical of government since he was 30. In 2016, he definitely was the lesser of two evils, Zulch said. Medicare is becoming a joke. Even Heidi Mackey, the clerk inside the station who said she hasnt voted since 2018, said shell likely vote in the May 3 primary. America's most accurate bellwether counties, regions that have a reputation for accurately picking the president, got the presidential election completely wrong. Understanding the I-4 corridor's bellwether mojo requires defining the area. He doesnt take the money; hes got the money. Every time you pass a law, the government becomes more oppressive. When there was, we were making money pulling people out of ditches.. This includes personalizing content and advertising. We have so many units that need to be repaired and we cant get the parts. Greg Abbott of Texas as a possible presidential candidate. A number of fertilizer plants closed across the country last year due to natural gas shortages. I hope.. He thinks the current criminal justice system imprisons too many people. The price of regular gas at the local Sheetz was $2.53already substantially higher than across the border in West Virginia, where $2.19 was the norm. The expansion for First Solar was made possible by changes in the U.S. Corporate Tax Policy during the Trump administration. Theyre scared. bellwether counties epoch timesjury duty summons date vs reporting date Get Business Credit and Financing To Grow Your Business!!! The counties tend to be clustered in the Midwest and the Northeast, with only four of the counties not falling into one of those regions, they said. Nestled along Lake Erie in the northwest of. Overall, the county is in good shape, and has a lot going for it.. Since its founding in 1853 it has only got 13 out of the 37 extant elections right. Hes happy about the passage of the First Step Act, criminal justice reform that Trump signed into law in 2018, which includes decreased sentences for some drug crimes, and also makes it easier to get out of prison early for good behavior. The county is more white than the rest of the nationabout 87 percent, compared to 76 percent nationally, according to census data. He pissed off a lot of people. Now the places emerging as possible new bellwethers have more racially diverse populations. What happened to our Democratic Party? Shortened URL for this post:https://bit.ly/3JzjZ3j. The insulting back and forth really bothers me about any candidate, Myers said. Thats probably the biggest fear right now when I talk to people. Colleton County, South Carolina - one miss since 1968 (in 1980), perfect since 1984. When he became a Christian, he struggled with his unions blind support for Democratic candidates, most of whom arent pro-life, he said. The state as a whole is going more Republican, Wood County Board of Elections Director Julie Baumgardner told The Epoch Times. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. They can try all they can to prevent whatever they want to prevent, but nature is going to run its course, no matter what, Tisdell said. I know a lot of people dont like him, because of his tweets and things that he says, and I kind of agree with that. Biden Extends National Emergency Due to Extraordinary Threat of Russian Actions in Ukraine, Tulsi Gabbard Says Election Fraud a 'Serious Threat,' Announces Bill Targeting Ballot Harvesting. In 2020, amid widespread accusations of Democrat cheating, these bellwethers were not even close checking in at a mind-blowing 6%! He soon lost his car, because he fell behind on license plate fees. Carol Jacobs in Ridgway, Elk County, Penn., on Sept. 17, 2020. Farming also is a big part of Wood County's make up in northwest Ohio. The bellwether scores map highlights the fact that many states have a good bellwether county or two, even if they did not make the list of the 19 counties which have always voted for the winning candidate, they said. Under a changed political landscape in Ottawa County, Commissioner Mark Coppeler, a Republican, also looked at the bigger picture. I vote for whoever I think is going to do the best job, Sam added. It could be said that Ottawa County is one of the top bellwether counties in Ohio, if not the country. Since then, he has been doing odd jobs, such as cutting grass or trimming trees for neighbors. They are not even the regular masks to filter it out. Were not going to be able to afford this Democratic regime. Im not happy with either party. But Hamilton thinks more changes are needed. Like all-or nothing bellwethers, counties that closely tracked the election for 12 consecutive elections failed to continue that form for a 13th time. I think a lot of us are fighting against socialism. 2020: Trump - 54.12%, Biden - 45.20%. I mean the whole world ought to be mad at China, we should all be going to war against them. But, he said, most mainstream politicians dont represent rural America, and issues such as boys that identify as girls and then compete in girls high school sports just smack of stupid., The economy and taxes are important issues to him, but the question he asks of the candidate is, Does this person care about my family?. I vote for whomever I think is going to do the better job, whether they are a Democrat or a Republican. Trump swiped 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. Weve never done that before.. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. This includes personalizing content and advertising. We have loads that sometimes dont cover the fuel costs., During the COVID pandemic, nobody was on the roads. She can be reached at cara.ding@epochtimes.com, Biden Extends National Emergency Due to Extraordinary Threat of Russian Actions in Ukraine, Suburban Wisconsin Voters Divided on Presidential Race. Its gone, Jacobs said. In Terre Haute, 52-year-old Scott Hamilton said the main issue for him in this election is how divided the nation is; he said Trump is mostly to blame. Just off Interstate 75 at the Pemberville/Bowling Green exit, is Frickers, a popular eatery and gathering place for people of all ages, whereChris Chamberlin ofBowling Green works as the restaurants manager. Note: This article gives the views of the author, and not the position of USAPP American Politics and Policy, nor the London School of Economics. Soon, he lost his union membership because he had no money to pay the dues. One older woman with a Biden sign outside her home simply said, Im voting for Biden, and thats all Ive got to say.. I dont think my vote counts, he told The Epoch Times. Tammy said that with the lakefront area being a popular spot for fishing and tourists, the price of gas always has been higher than average. Global Trade Policy Challenges: preparing for the next decade, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported. HOW THE SPECTER OF COMMUNISM IS RULING OUR WORLD. Logistically, its a disaster. But as for America, I feel he would do the best job.. We need to address the economy and safety and security, Hawker said. The All-Or-Nothing Bellwether: These are states or counties that choose the national winner every time. And then theres Vigo Countyin Indianathe quintessential bellwether that has correctly picked the winner in all but two elections since 1888. Growth in recent years has been a challenge, if not nonexistent, he said. This year, the local courthouse in Ridgway has been bustling with new voter registrations and party affiliation changes. Our infrastructure is in bad shape.. I kind of keep in my bubble. Ron DeSantis, Miller said he likes Gov. I dont think you should take that away from me.. Median household incomes range from $65,000 in Bremer County, Iowa, to $32,000 in Hidalgo County in New Mexico. Trump is challenging the results in several states, alleging fraud, voter suppression, and illegal restrictions on Republican poll watchers. 'I Should Start Voting'. The researchers also mapped all American counties (over 3,000) by their bellwether scorethat is their record of voting for the overall winner in each of the previous 10 presidential electionsgiving progressively larger weight to more recent elections. Portman wont be seeking reelection; seven Republicans are competing in the primary election for the partys nomination: Matt Dolan, Mike Gibbons, Josh Mandel, Neil Patel, Mark Pukita, Jane Timken, and J.D. This year, Vigo went for Trump by nearly 15 points, roughly the same as in 2016. One major planned project in Wood County pulled outPeloton, an exercise bike and interactive exercise equipment manufacturer. If he does not answer that issue clearly, I will not vote for him.. Youre not getting anybody perfect. For Brendon, another resident of Riley who declined to disclose his last name, his spiritual belief will lead him not to vote at all this year. High scoring bellwether counties in these regions tend to border other high scoring counties, unlike their counterparts in the South and West, which tend to see high scoring bellwethers somewhat isolated from each other. He also intends to vote in personto ensure his vote is counted that day, although he used a mail-in ballot to vote in the primary. Donald Trump 16 out of 39 counties which are considered significant bellwethers. The Democrats who are vying for that partys nomination are Morgan Harper, Traci Johnson, and Tim Ryan, who has been serving in Congress for the past 2o years, or 10 consecutive terms. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. The Princeton political scientist, Edward Tufte opens his 1975 co-authored article on bellwethers with: Prior to the 1936 presidential election, the conventional political wisdom had it that as Maine voted, so went the rest of the nation. Itll be interesting to see who wins Sen. If riots break out in our area and we dont have firearms, how are we going to protect our family and ourselves?. Mainstream polls are suggesting a Pennsylvania win for Biden, but, if the 2016 polls were anything to go by, theyre about as useful as a screen door on a submarine. Ottawa County along Lake Erie in northwest Ohio had one of the nation's longest streaks of supporting the presidential candidate who won the White House. Were still there right now as a bellwether county, but we dont know whether well keep it up.. The researchers also mapped all U.S. counties (over 3,000) by their bellwether scoretheir record of voting for the overall winner in each of the previous 10 presidential electionsgiving progressively larger weight to more recent elections. Our mission is to put on honest elections.. She thinks economic distress from COVID-19 will fuel more unrest. In both of the missteps, the residents wrongly picked the losing Democrat: Williams Jennings Bryan over President William Taft in 1908 and Adlai Stevenson over President Dwight Eisenhower in 1952. Jacobs, 58, a gift store manager in Ridgway, said she voted for Obama but didnt follow politics closely at the time. Theres too much mishandling, she said. That is, until this year. He said hes concerned but hopeful for the future. Westmoreland is the only one in the South; Clallam is the only county on the West Coast, and Hidalgo and Valencia are the only counties in the Mountain West. Longtime Rep. Marcy Kaptur, a Democrat who has been in Congress since 1983, is running for reelection; Teresa Gavarone and J.R. Majewski are competing in the GOP primary. The City Center festival continued with Kyiv City Ballet, a Christopher Wheeldon duet and a daring work for Dayton Contemporary Dance Company. For the first time in as long as she can remember, since becoming a registered voter 35 years ago, all three county commissioners are Republicans. In the May 3 primary, theres also a mix of familiar names with new candidates on the ballot. Peoples common sense level is cooked. Peloton plans to complete construction on the building on its 200-acre property and sell it, but will downsize its workforce. You have to take the lesser of two evils. Will Ohios Wood County Continue to Be a Reliable Bellwether Indicator? Competing for the Democratic nomination are John Cranley and former Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley. Chamberlin, who has worked for the regional chain for 17 years, estimates he has saved about $2,000 in gas over the past year. Eleven of the 19 were located in just six Midwestern states, and Wisconsin alone is home to four, they said. We shouldnt be fighting among each other here. The ongoing coronavirus restrictions seem to be nudging people to the right, but six weeks out from the election and with the October surprises still to come, the Keystone State could be the clincher for either candidate. She shook her head at the high price of gas. In 2020 the expansion also began generating $898,000 a year for the next 15 years for Lake Local Schools. We can place an order and immediately get an email back of what they dont have. John Hawker, a 74-year-old Port Clinton resident who grew up in Toledo, was sitting at the end of the bar and also weighed in on the state of affairs. But what would be striking is for it to end so radically. Guests are invited to enjoy live music from The BanDura BanDuo, featuring Angelika and Justin Mehes, a brother-sister musical act, visit the Cheremosh Ukrainian Dance Ensemble's costume display featuring traditional Ukrainian folk dance costumes, and connect with the . Now, just because my president is Republican, I expected a swing to the right, but what we have nowthey broke the whole pendulum. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. They need to take care of the older people here. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. "The three potentially competitive races in Virginia with Democratic incumbents could be a national bellwether," veteran Virginia political analyst Bob Holsworth told The Epoch Times. We find that bellwether success is almost entirely a matter of random coin tosses in multiple counties over time to create an appearance of predictive power that is a matter of chance. I cannot support a candidate that is not pro-life. Pro-life is one of the top items on his list of issues. Armagost was lucky during the shutdowns, as bike shop repairs and maintenance were considered essential and he remained in business. A former Republican stronghold, Wood County supported GOP candidates Gerald Ford in 1976, and Donald Trump in 2020. The ones he lost went to Biden by a margin of about four points on average. There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000. We know that President Donald Trump won 18 of the 19 historic bellwether counties those that have regularly predicted the outcome of presidential contests. I dont watch TV. I think it worked out without me.. She registered as a Democrat about 40 years ago and has never bothered to change her affiliation, although she voted for Trump in 2016 and plans to do the same this year. He received his bachelors degree in mechanical engineering from the University of Toledo and a Masters degree in electrical engineering from Northwestern in Illinois. (Charlotte Cuthbertson/The Epoch Times) By Charlotte. And yet, the belief in bellwether states or counties as predictors of US presidential elections is a phoenix that is constantly being reborn. It hurts the older people like me who are on a fixed income.. Unfortunately, however, neither of the reasons for why we might think that previous bellwethers will continue to be bellwethers is valid. There isnt anything I can do to change it or to make it better by voting.. "The Wall Street Journal and The Epoch Times independently analyzed the results of 19 counties around the United States that have nearly perfect presidential voting records over the last 40 years. Your email address will not be published. Please read our comments policy before commenting. Miller cited seeing some retail and light industrial development around the county in recent yearsa Bass Pro Shops store in Bowling Green, a 1 million-square-foot expansion for First Solar in Perrysburg in 2018, and downtown revitalization in Bowling Green. Things have been bad for so long, they dont care.. Only one, Clallam County in Washington, went for former Vice President Joe Biden and only by about a three-point margin. Demographically, the bellwether counties tended to be whiter, older, less educated, have lower median incomes, have a lower percentage of workers in the labor force, and have higher rates of vacant housing than the country as a whole. Were a service industry-oriented area. What you need to know, summarized in one email. He says hell vote for Trump. We and the rest of the states boards of elections have been directed by the Ohio Secretary of States Office to hold the election on May 3. Sam said he has noticed that the farmers arent happy, and their kids have to take a side job in the factory because of the economic situation. He told The Epoch Times that hes facing workforce shortages and currently only has 18 cookshalf of what he normally would have. The economy and good-paying jobs always have been an issue up here.. Michael Sakal is a former reporter for The Epoch Times. Theres too much corruption. Four City Technologies makes the lock-tight coatings on the threads of the components. Thats about 43 percent of the eligible voters in the country, according to a. of nonvoters overseen by professors at Tufts University and Stony Brook University. It bisects six counties Hillsborough, Polk, Osceola, Orange, Seminole and Volusia but is far bigger than the . Only 1 of 17 bellwether counties went for Biden this year! She only voted once, at the urging of her husband, when they got married about 30 years ago. And the thing is, when they have these laws now that they arent enforcing, what good is another law going to be? The county, located along the Illinois border, has a mix of rural and urban demographics. Yet unofficial vote counts now show Biden in the lead and with enough electoral votes to claim the presidency. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Only one, Clallam County in Washington, went for former Vice President Joe Biden and only by about a 3 point margin. Workforce shortages are mostly everywhere, he said. Im not even sure what direction were going.. We believe that there are two main reasons. Since Trump got voted in, it was when I started getting into politics, Tisdell told The Epoch Times while sitting in his garage. The unequal geographic distribution is a somewhat curious phenomenon of bellwether counties. Now, being more than $3 a gallon, people are beginning to notice it more as its putting a pinch on their wallets. In 2020, all but one of the bellwethers picked President Donald Trump by a margin of some 16 points on average. He won Ohio by eight, Iowa by eight. Her husband, a groundskeeper at an Army Reserve base, comes from a strongly Democratic family. If that date were to change, the Ohio legislature is the only one who can request to postpone or change the date of an election through legislative action.. There are three counties that voted with the eventual winner for each of the past 10 elections,. I just got on Social Security disability, because I cant work anymore. He says hes going to vote for the lesser of two evils.. January 5, 2021: Rep. Jordan attacks "liberal judges" and state officials for their role in the election. Thats about 43 percent of the eligible voters in the country, according to a study of nonvoters overseen by professors at Tufts University and Stony Brook University. Theres significant variability among them though. I find that hard to believe. An Emerson poll conducted shortly before Election Day was completely off, showing Trump and Biden neck-to-neck. Perhaps that is why they are a true bellwether county, not fully committing to one political party over the other. Nothing is free, Hawker said. Longtime Bowling Green resident Doug Miller, a conservative and Donald Trump supporter who works as a chief operating officer for a heavy-duty trucking company in nearby Fremont, said the company, which was heavily affected during the pandemic, is still navigating challenges. Wood Countyaswith Ottawa County, its neighbor to the east along Lake Erieis filled with farm fields, is home to many military veterans (about 7,000 of them), and hasnt seen much expansion or change since the late 1970s or early 1980s. Bremer County, Iowa In a video posted to Twitter on Thursday, Trump 2020 Campaign Senior Advisor for Strategy Steve Cortes took a deep dive into the 2020 election data regarding President Donald Trump's overwhelmingly dominant performance in the United States' bellwether counties, adding to the statistical improbability of a Joe Biden electoral victory. Swept up in unproven voter fraud claims, the Shasta County Board of Supervisors has upended the county's election process, canceling its contract with . The Republican has been a big supporter of water quality on Lake Erie, and were looking to get another candidate that sees that as a priority.. Before the 2020 election, Clallam was one of 19 counties with an unbroken record of voting for the winning presidential candidate since 1980. I dont feel good about the leadership in our country right now.. When gas went up that time, our sales went down to zero, Zulch said.

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